subscribe: Posts | Comments | Email

The Automotive and Other Industry New Learning for Supply Chain Risk Management

Comments Off

This coming Sunday will mark one year after the tragic disaster that impacted northern Japan and that provided such vivid images for all of us. There is little question that this incident, followed by the effects of the monsoon-driven floods that struck Thailand, have without doubt provided the wake-up call to the vulnerabilities of today’s global supply chains.

The Wall Street Journal’s Drivers Seat Blog penned a brief but rather insightful commentary related to the lessons being learned by major Japan based automotive manufacturers after the devastating earthquake and tsunami that impacted that country almost a year ago this week. We wanted to call attention to our Supply Chain Matters readers to this important evolving learning, but also add broader considerations for firms to  consider.

One year after the Japan disaster both Toyota and Nissan have taken initiatives to probe deeper into their respective supply chains to ascertain vulnerabilities.  Toyota itself has established a rather aggressive goal aimed at the ability to restore any of its manufacturing operations within Japan in just two weeks after the occurrence of a major disaster. The WSJ blog commentary goes on to note: “After the earthquake, Japan’s biggest car maker by volume asked about 500 suppliers to its domestic factories to disclose details of their supply chain. About half revealed sourcing network information, and Toyota found that some 300 production locations could be at risk.”

That statement alone is an important reflection of what occurred in the initial days after the disaster.  Supply Chain Matters has heard first-hand accounts from a number of senior supply chain executives indicating that while initial assessments may have given an indication of minimal or minor impact. It was the later assessments from lower tier suppliers that provided the real magnitude of potential disruption to supply.

The WSJ commentary also notes that Nissan’s COO recently asked its suppliers to take similar steps in disclosing details of the component supply network.  Supply Chain Matters readers of both our ongoing blog and newsletter commentaries will recall that in the case of Nissan, it was far more equipped to respond to the crisis and bounced back the earliest.  The latest financial performance results from all of the Japan based auto manufacturers now indicate how Nissan has been able to buffer any major sales decline and actually exhibit sales growth due of the flexibilities of its supply chain capabilities.

Over and above supplier assessments, there is a need to have singular organizational focus and accountability for risk identification and mitigation.  There are two fundamental components to risk namely, identification or mitigation as well as adequate response when major disruption occurs.  In our view, both must also fall under the same organizational umbrella.

Over on the Spend Matters blog, fellow blogger Jason Busch offers a recommendation that this accountability should reside in either finance, procurement or both.  Our view is that it should have even broader supply chain accountability, including a direct relationship to the company’s senior supply chain or operations executive. Notice that in the case of both Toyota and Nissan, the spokespersons are senior operational executives.

Like many other of today’s more demanding capabilities there is an all-important skills aspect to the identification and management of risk and firms need to assess the required skill levels to support these needed competencies.

Risk identification and mitigation requires advanced analytical and business intelligence capabilities as noted not only in the scope of Toyota’s effort, but in current benchmarks from companies such as Cisco, Procter & Gamble, FedEx and others.  There are needs to to quantify which components, regardless of individual cost, have the most risk to end-product revenue support needs.  Risks themselves need to be categorized as to frequency of occurrence. It also requires the existence of supplier early warning capabilities as well as the broadest visibility of what may be occurring throughout all layers of the supply chain at any given time.   Much of these capabilities require some investment in advanced technology, and we believe this will lead to broader perspectives for investments in a new class of supply chain control tower like applications.

Organizations cannot adequately address nor implement any technology investment without first gaining alignment in formulating a comprehensive organizational plan for addressing supply chain risk management. Such a plan has people, process, technology and change management components.

Technology providers in turn need to educate firms in understanding the building blocks or roadmaps for building adequate skills, organizational capabilities and safeguards in order to leverage these technologies.

One year after the tragic events impacting Japan, we as a supply chain community need to take a broader and more aware perspective towards existing risk to industry supply chains including the need to educate the highest levels of senior management as to the required building blocks and investments.

Has your organization gained a new awareness and sensitivity to supply chain risk?

Bob Ferrari

©2012 The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and the Supply Chain Matters blog.  All rights reserved.


Supply Chain Matters February 2012 Update on the Impact of the Thailand Floods

Comments Off

Supply Chain Matters provides our February update commentary regarding the global supply chain impacts from the devastating monsoon floods that impacted Thailand in the fall of 2011. Our last early 2012 update in January reflected on the initial quantifiable impacts across industry supply chains. As the period of end of year earnings announcements concludes, we are getting a far more quantifiable picture of the cascading global supply chain impacts as a result of the floods.

We begin with the overall financial impactsAccording to a recent Insurance Journal posting, noted rating agency AM Best indicates that the insurance losses resulting from the floods in Thailand could be considered one of the five costliest insured loss events in the past 31 years.  Thai authorities now estimate that flood damage costs could be up to $15 billion, involving more than 400 manufacturers and households. A study from Aeon Benfield indicates that the amount of structural damage is actually “four times greater than what resulted from Japan’s earthquake and tsunami in March 2011, but only half of the total insured loss due to a low rate of insurance adoption.”  The implication is that many smaller suppliers or manufacturers may have self-insured.  The more sobering news for sourcing and procurement professionals to be concerned about is an indication by Best that the Thai commercial insurance industry “will likely face sharply contracted (coverage) capacity, higher pricing and tighter terms for coverage with the Sian and Japanese reinsurance renewals in April.” The takeaway, in our point-of-view, is that existing suppliers in these regions will probably face significant higher insurance or liability costs by virtue of their location in a disaster-prone region.

From an economic standpoint, the financial impact to the overall economy of Thailand was far larger than expected. That economy contracted at the annual rate of 9 percent in the final quarter of 2011 which is quite significant. According to the National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand, the manufacturing sector alone declined 23 percent while net exports fell at an annual rate of 6.1 percent compared to a 17.3 growth rate in the previous quarter.  Beyond Thailand, the economy of Japan contracted a worse than expected 2.3 percent in the final quarter of 2011 and government authorities pointed to a strong yen, falling overseas demand and the impacts from the Thailand floods as hampering production and exports.

The financial impact among individual companies has also come to light.  Western Digital, initially the most impacted manufacturer with 60 percent of its global hard disk drive (HDD) manufacturing sourced in Thailand, indicated that in its fiscal second-quarter, earnings fell 36 percent while overall HDD shipments dropped a substantial 45 percent. That volume drop equates to a shipping shortfall of over 52 million hard drives from the year earlier quarter.  Overall revenues were down 20 percent from the previous quarter. The news from Western Digital was generally well received by Wall Street given the dour initial news immediately after the floods. Company officials noted that while manufacturing levels are on the increase, manufacturing capacity levels will not reach pre-flood levels until at least the September quarter, and that supply chain pipeline inventories are not expected to reach normal levels until the first-half of calendar year 2013.  Meanwhile, rival Seagate Technologies Inc. who had far more limited production presence in Thailand reported better than expected earnings, margins and shipments for the quarter ending in December.  Seagate shipped almost twice the volume of Western Digital, 47 million HDD’s in comparison to the 28.5 million for Western. Seagate’s gross margins increased nearly 12 percentage points from a year earlier as limited overall supply chain supply led to higher prices. According to IHS iSuppli, the average selling price for HDD’s increased on average 28 percent in Q4 of 2011 and will only decline slightly in the current quarter. In our January update, we noted reports of pricing spiking as much as 50 to 100 percent at the retail level in Asia.

Moving up the supply chain, computer providers Dell and Hewlett Packard has released each of their latest quarterly earnings with noted admissions to the financial impact from interruption of HDD supply.  Dell’s fourth quarter 2011 results indicated that while revenues rose 2 percent, earnings fell 18 percent. Dell CFO Brian Glidden acknowledged that the flooding in Thailand financially hurt the company during the quarter.  Not only were available hard drives expensive, Dell could not fulfill its desired needs for higher capacity drives. HP announced that for the quarter ending in January, PC related profits were down 31 percent, and server related profits declined 32 percent.  Overall profits declined 31 percent, and HP’s CFO in-turn acknowledged that the HDD shortage hurt both PC and server sales, and that the impact would continue through the first half of this year.  Readers should recall that both of these companies previously downplayed any significant disruption in supply or pricing.  This again brings credence to the concept of whether in times of significant supply chain disruption, it may be better to bring forward the worst and best case impacts, setting appropriate expectations, rather than waiting for the actual results to occur.  In the case of Western Digital, prior announcements of significant impact, followed by better than expected performance, was well received by Wall Street, in spite of not so positive financial news. Apple on the other hand, most likely from its huge influence in volume buying agreements, has publically indicated little supply impact and had stellar financial results in its latest quarter.  Interesting enough, both Western Digital and Seagate are listed suppliers on Apple’s supplier responsibility report.

Moving down the supply chain, a Forbes hosted article penned by semiconductor industry analyst Jim Handy noted the effects of the HDD supply disruption on the other components of global PC and server supply chains.  Handy notes that  about 40 percent of the total semiconductor market is made up of data processing applications, and because limited supplies of HDD restricted PC build schedules, other components such as LCD screens and DRAMS went into oversupply.  He predicts that other PC components will enter oversupply this quarter which will have a negative impact on semiconductor component prices both in the current quarter and perhaps the remainder of the year.  Supply Chain Matters would add that this may also reflect a situation where longer-term volume buying contracts could not be adjusted or that supply chain planners were challenged with maintaining current build plans while hoping for the best in HDD supply.

As more quantitative and other data attributed to this one significant major supply chain disruption becomes ever more visible, the consequences for re-examined strategic sourcing, supply chain risk mitigation and other planning become more obvious in the months to come.

We can all collectively hope for a less disruptive remaining 2012, but that may be wishful thinking.

Bob Ferrari

©2012 The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and the Supply Chain Matters blog, all rights reserved.


What a Difference a Year Makes in the U.S. Auto Industry

Comments Off

In conjunction with the Detroit Auto Show that has been underway in the U.S. there has been no shortage of business media news stories related to the state of the industry. No doubt, the headline for industry and associated supply chain oriented audiences reflects on what a difference one year can make.

Readers can certainly recall that during the past global financial crisis, two of the largest automotive OEM’s were in bankruptcy and in need of large scale restructuring. Global markets were weak and many governments had to initiate stimulus programs to salvage their respective home country manufacturers along with industry jobs. Japanese brands were dominant, but Korean brands such as Hyundai were starting a thrust.

As we enter 2012, the industry has a far different picture. Both General Motors and Chrysler Group are doing superbly after re-structuring and new management. Auto sales among the “big three” U.S. OEM’s rose 13 percent in 2011. Volkswagen and Hyundai have garnered tremendous momentum while Toyota and Honda continue to respond to significant supply setbacks brought about by supply chain disruption.

From a global markets perspective, the largest growth market for autos was in the U.S. which experienced a 10 percent growth rate.  A review of individual OEM U.S. sales growth rates in 2011 reveals:

  • Chrysler up 26 percent
  • Volkswagen up 26 percent
  • Hyundai up 20 percent
  • Nissan up 15 percent
  • General Motors up 13 percent
  • Ford up 11 percent
  • Honda down 7.1 percent
  • Toyota down 6.7 percent

The state of the U.S. automotive supply chains has transformed and is in far better shape than just a year ago. OEM’s have worked hard on global-wide platform product strategies along with improved flexible manufacturing techniques that allow factories to be able to support multiple models with different market growth rates. The industry has also gained more sensitivity to positive supplier relationships and participation in globally focused S&OP planning activities.

China, the world’s other market in terms of long-term growth potential, only grew 2.5 percent in 2011 as suspended government subsidies took a toll on overall demand. Of more interest, foreign brands such as BMW, GM, Ford, and Volkswagen demonstrated healthier growth levels which indicate that Chinese consumers are very particular with the brands they ultimately purchase.

Europe’s auto sales actually contracted by more than one percent and the ongoing Eurozone financial crisis do not provide optimism that Europe’s market will improve anytime soon.  Europe continues to suffer from far too much production capacity, and industry executives such as Fiat / Chrysler chief Sergio Marchionne predict more consolidation among industry participants.

In recent weeks, as a result of these trends, as well as the worsening currency exchange and energy supply problems affecting Japan, there has been a spate of announcements from automakers who have now decided to additionally invest in U.S. production capability.  In addition to Honda’s significant announcement in December, BMW, Chrysler, Daimler, Ford and others have each announcement significant new investments in U.S. production capacity.

Hyundai has had such a spectacular growth in the U.S. and other global regions that its management has announced that it has throttled-back growth expectations to take the time to focus instead to build on process quality and customer service needs. The Financial Times last week noted that Hyundai management wants to avoid the mistakes made by GM and Toyota that put too much emphasis on growing market share than in quality.  Supply Chain Matters commends Hyundai for that decision.

A rapidly changing global economy, changed make-up of executive leadership, significant unplanned supply disruptions and continued investments in value-chain capabilities have resulted in the automotive industry being in a far different landscape in the coming months.  This is yet another reinforcement that for this economy the need for teams to have the supply chain in constant alignment to a rapidly changing set of business strategies is a continuous imperative.

In our soon to be published Supply Chain Matters Q4-2011 Quarterly Newsletter, we will provide additional commentary relative to the signs of a renaissance for U.S. manufacturing.

Bob Ferrari

©2012, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and the Supply Chain Matters blog.  All rights reserved.


Early 2012 Update on Impact of Thailand Floods for Global Supply Chains

Comments Off

Supply Chain Matters provides another reader update regarding the global supply chain impacts from the devastating monsoon floods that impacted Thailand and other Southeast Asian countries in the Fall of 2011. Readers might recall that beyond the tragic loss of life, the flooding impacted over two-thirds of the country’s provinces and that seven of country’s important industrial manufacturing parks were severely flooded. While some factories have restarted operations, others continue to struggle with various issues.

In our previous general update in mid-November, we honed in on the specific impacts that both the high tech and automotive industries would potentially encounter. As we enter 2012, these impacts continue, although the picture appears to be a bit more optimistic.  On the other hand, as noted in our 2012 Predictions for Global Supply Chains, the broader and more far reaching implications concerning the Thai flooding and other 2011 disruptive events are raising significant new considerations for strategic and other product sourcing decisions in the months to come.

For high tech and consumer electronics, all eyes remained focused on hard disk drives (HDD) production.  Western Digital, initially the most impacted manufacturer, re-started some partial HDD production in its Thai Bang Pa-in facility in the first week of December, one week ahead of schedule.  That facility had been submerged under six feet of water.  Western Digital expects to ramp-up production at this facility during the March 2012 quarter. Other of the company’s production facilities in Thailand are in the process of re-starting.  The expected impacts on reduced overall HDD supply and pricing are underway.  Both EMC and HP increased large-scale storage system pricing in late December in the range of 5 to 15 percent, but supply shortages have amplified price levels even further. In Asia, there are reports that HDD pricing at the retail level has spiked as much as 50 to 100 percent. The Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) released a statement in early January noting: “Supply chain disruptions resulting from the floods in Thailand have impacted semiconductor sales in the near term, however OEM’s are expected to recover production losses over the course of the next few months.” Industry leader Intel attributed its latest quarterly decline in revenues to the impact of supply brought about from the result of the floods.

Computer OEM’s such as Apple, HP, Lenovo and Dell remain publically silent concerning an ongoing shortage of disk drives but we are sure that internal supply planning teams have been hard at work sorting out disk allocation and various product offering scenarios.  As anticipated, most of the available supply is being allocated to higher priced, more profitable PC products.

Regarding other industry impacts, reports from Japan indicate that the country experienced a 2.6 percent month-to-month drop in factory production for November, which was worse than had been predicted. According to an AFP report, production of passenger cars and mobile phones were among the hardest hit because of the supply shortage impacts emanating from Japanese-plant sourcing in Thailand. However, Japanese automotive providers were reported to be more optimistic for December and January production output levels. Both Toyota and Honda have now acknowledged that the combination of massive supply disruption brought about from the earthquake and tsunami that impacted Japan in March, and the Thai monsoon related floods, have caused both to lose market share because of reduced vehicle output.

Other industry impacts have come to light.  PPG Industries has indicated that production of certain optical components prevented that company from satisfying supply contracts and conducting normal business.  Goodyear Tire and Rubber warned in December that impacts of the Thai flooding could result in “a potential global shortage” of aircraft tires.

Beyond the tragic loss of life, the World Bank estimates that flood damage has reached $45 billion and rebuilding efforts are estimated at about $25 billion. This loss, along with the unprecedented magnitude of loses emanating from certain areas of Asia and Australia has motivated major global insurers and re-insurance firms to reduce their exposure to certain catastrophe prone areas.  The Financial Times recently reported that exposures in Australia, Indonesia, Taiwan and Vietnam have all experienced large insurance premium rises during key early January policy renewal negotiations.  Noted were premium rate increases in the range of 10 percent to as high as 35 percent in these countries, with certain exposures in Australia rising in the range of 40-75 percent, and New Zealand 80-150 percent.

Supply Chain Matters continues to believe that these developments will motivate CFO’s and Chief Supply Chain Officer’s to revisit near and longer-term sourcing strategies that directly relate to regions deemed high risk for natural or catastrophic future incidents.  Beyond the cost of direct labor and transportation, a new, more sobering financial input has been added to the evaluation of strategic sourcing, and that should be prompting strategic sourcing teams to begin to revisit sourcing strategies.

The year 2012 has not added to the confidence of a year that was not like 2011 in terms of global supply chain disruption.  Last week, a 7.2 magnitude earthquake that struck of the coast of Indonesia prompted a brief tsunami warning.  Luckily, the tsunami did not occur and damage was reported as minimal, but nerves were definitely rattled.  The bottom-line is that the probability for global supply chain disruption prompted by natural disasters and catastrophe events remains high and manufacturers are about to actively re-examine global sourcing strategies weighting a new and financial sobering aspect of geographic exposure to regions more prone to these incidents going forward.

Bob Ferrari

©2012, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters blog, All rights reserved.


A Major Announement from Honda Impacting the Future of North American Based Manufacturing

Comments Off

A highly significant supply chain related news story comes this week from Honda Motor Co., one that has the potential to bring significant change to North America based manufacturing.  As the Christmas holidays approach, Honda’s North American and supply chain partner employees will certainly have some cheer.

According to an article published in the Wall Street Journal (paid subscription or free metered view restriction), Honda plans to shift a major portion of its production capacity into North America over the next few years.

The implication for Honda’s current North American production facilities and supporting supply chains are highly significant since the numbers indicate as much as a 40 percent increase in production and the positioning of Honda North America as both a producer for both domestic and global export markets.  If the full plans are implemented, North America would represent more than 50 percent of Honda’s global production capability, with export volumes in the range of 200,000 to 300,000 vehicles annually.

The reasons for this major announcement are fairly obvious and far reaching.  With the continued stubborn strength of the Japanese yen making manufacturing exports highly unprofitable, many Japanese based manufacturers can no longer afford to have the bulk of export oriented manufacturing based in Japan.  This has led to many difficult decisions, not only for Japan’s automotive producers, but high tech and consumer electronics manufacturers as well.  The one high visibility exception has been Toyota, with its chairmen continuing to believe that the company has a commitment to continue to have some export production based in Japan. But even Toyota has begun planning for shifting increased capacity and output to North America and other global based facilities.

The other motivation points to global supply chain risk mitigation. The major disruptions concerning the devastating earthquake and tsunami that struck northern Japan and the monsoon-related floods that impacted numerous manufacturing facilities within Thailand have exposed certain risk vulnerabilities. At the height of the tsunami crisis that impacted Japan, Nissan exported V6 engines from its North America plants to Japan in order to keep its southern Japan plants operating. That action, along with others, caused Nissan to overcome the crisis much quicker than some of its Japan based competitors.

As noted in our 2012 Predictions series, 2011 events have been a wake-up call for globally sourced manufacturers, and global insurance and reinsurance carriers are in the process of re-evaluating high risk geographies, which could result in higher insurance premiums for regions more vulnerable to catastrophic natural disaster.

The prospects for increased manufacturing and automotive supply chain related jobs for the U.S. are obvious.  Supply Chain Matters, however, would add a note of caution.  For North America to become a new source of global export capability there will need to be major investments in supply chain and skills infrastructure.  In the case of Honda, the concentration of North American production and supply chain facilities lies in the U.S. Midwest region (Ohio, Indiana, Ontario Canada), and vehicles will have to be transported to export ports on either the U.S. west or east coasts.  If other Japanese and foreign owned manufacturers also expand, current facilities in the U.S. Southern region would add transportation segments to export-related ports.  With the pending opening of an expanded Panama Canal, U.S. ports could experience a dramatic increase in operations. Air freight hubs such as Huntsville and Nashville would be impacted with increased operational volumes.  With inter-modal trucking and rail capacity currently constrained, port authorities as well as rail, third party logistics and trucking carriers will need to invest in added infrastructure, equipment and productivity tools.  In the area of skills, many U.S. manufacturers complain that they cannot fill existing needs because of a lack of technically skilled people.

Our readers in North America should have one significant takeaway from the implications of this latest Honda announcement.  Now is the time to hold politicians and industry accountable for actively supporting and shepherding the required investments in world class transportation, logistics and skills infrastructure that can sustain North America as a global manufacturing hub and a generator of jobs.

The current Congressional gridlock must move beyond partisan politics and focus on what generating jobs really implies.  Recent opinion polls indicate that the U.S. electorate holds their Congressional legislators in the lowest regards.  News commentators now joke that criminals have higher public opinion ratings.

Supply Chain Matters continues to believe that the U.S. Presidential Commission on Jobs and Competitiveness must include in its recommendations both assessment and specific action plans for needed changes in U.S. supply chain and logistics infrastructure, and Congress and industry should immediately act in concert for active implementation of needs.

As the saying goes, when opportunity strikes, take action!

Job growth is on the doorstep, but it comes with a resolve to action. Get involved and have your voice heard.

Bob Ferrari


For the Automotive Industry, Responsive Global Supply Chain Capabilities will be the Competitive Differentiators

Comments Off

The following commentary is also featured on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site where the author is a featured guest contributor.

Much has been stated and written noting the fact that global enterprises compete not only on the differentiation of offered products and services, but also on the differentiated capabilities of individual supply chains.  There are many industry case studies, but one that continues to evolve is the global automotive industry.

The global automotive industry has experienced a post-recessionary comeback from the depths of the 2008-2009 global financial crises. Growth markets have been in Eastern Europe, China, Latin and North America. There is, however, a strong possibility that the top three players including Toyota, will shift in ranking status because of a series of quality, supply chain disruption and economic setbacks.  Some industry watchers are predicting that Volkswagen will surpass both Toyota and General Motors for the top global spot.

The Financial Times (paid subscription or free metered view) has been featuring a series of running commentaries related to Volkswagen.  This auto maker is current on-track to sell 8 million vehicles on a global basis in 2011, and deploys a supply chain presence involving more than 90 manufacturing plants, over $80 billion in procurement activities supporting the building of 200 different vehicle models.  Revenues have increased 26 percent in the latest quarter with profits surpassing 13.6 billion euros. More importantly, the Times points out that industry competitors view VW as the benchmark for manufacturing efficiency and profitability, a competency that was once the sole purview of Toyota. VW was one of the first auto makers to invest in China, choosing a partnership strategy with existing Chinese producers SAIC and FAW.  Today, VW brands have the number one market status within China, followed by GM and Hyundai.

What is important to keep in mind relative to VW is its diversity of 10 car and truck brands, from low-cost to ultra- premium, its emphasis on integrating product engineering with production and global supply strategy needs, and a ruthless focus of product quality that stems from senior management. While various brands adhere to autonomy in vehicle design and pricing, areas of procurement and production focus on global supply chain leverage.  The more expensive Audi  and lower-cost VW brands are often produced with the same underlying platforms sharing similar supply components. Of late, various brands have customized vehicle features to accommodate local market needs and desires.

The competitive strategy among global automotive players is having the ability to leverage large volumes of vehicle production leveraging just a few vehicle platforms. We recently penned a Supply Chain Expert Community commentary reflecting on Fiat and Chrysler’s efforts to deploy a global supply chain strategy.

Another evolving strategy has been a renewed emphasis on vertical integration of supply, for instance, the ability to customize specialty steel designs.  Supply Chain Matters recently penned a commentary on Hyundai’s efforts in this area.

VW has been hard at work consolidating underlying product platforms to just two basic architectures, engine in transverse position, and engine in a longitudinal position. Engine and drivetrain production is shared among brands, and each Volkswagen-owned factory features the same processes and controls across the globe. VW is in the process of rolling out a “modular toolbox” manufacturing system that allows for platform sharing on a global-wide scale.

VW also believes in leveraged investment in IT technologies to streamline information flows, increase productivity among procurement and supply chain teams as well as enabling sense and respond capabilities to enhance local and global-wide decision-making.

But as the FT article rightfully points out, vast scale and commonality in procurement of components can lead to increased exposure to risk, as Toyota and other Japanese car makers discovered with the effects of the 2011 Japan tsunami and Thailand monsoon related floods. This places a renewed emphasis on risk mitigation and response management as important supply chain capability differentiators.  Recent reports indicate that Nissan may overtake Honda in global ranking, primarily because it was able to overcome recent natural disaster impacts more quickly.  For its part, VW management is reported to have been closely observing the effects that supply chain disruption can have to the overall business, along with the need for geographical redundancy of parts and production capability.

The global automotive industry ranking may well be different in the coming months and years, and the differentiators in our view, will be the seamless integration of product platform design, procurement sourcing, consistency in manufacturing and agility in global supply chain response capabilities.

Bob Ferrari

©2011, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters, All rights reserved.

 


« Previous Entries Next Entries »