This continues our series of commentaries outlining our 2012 Predictions for Global Supply Chains. These predictions are provided in the spirit of advising supply chain organizations in setting management agenda for the year ahead, and in helping our readers and clients to prepare their supply chain management teams in establishing programs, initiatives and educational agendas for the New Year.

Readers are welcomed to review our previous series of postings.  These include:

The full listing of 2012 predictions

Predictions One and Two.

Prediction Three

Prediction Four

Prediction Five: The concept of “supply chain control tower” will come to the forefront, but in 2012, there will be a need for vendors and consultants to focus on further market education and early adoption support.

In our discussions, presentations and attendance at 2011 supply chain forums and events, we have discussed and heard from manufacturers on the need for a “supply chain control tower” technology enablement.  The term itself is not one that was primarily conceived by technology vendors, but rather industry visionaries who now acutely understand that there is need to have complete visibility and decision control of all that is occurring across the extended global supply chain.  The clock speeds of business change have increased dramatically, along with their subsequent impact on supply and demand planning and fulfillment execution needs. Sequential planning cycles predicated on historic data views and incorporation of the impacts of the latest real-time events are the new challenges for managing highly dynamic supply chains.

The control tower concept stems from OEM’s primarily in the high tech and consumer electronics industry that are deeply involved in supply chain planning and fulfillment execution in a highly extended and complex network.  They have come to understand that constant volatility in product demand, supply, and other unplanned events are exposing the vulnerabilities of cadence or process driven planning, execution or S&OP processes.

Supply chain teams require more-timely, and more forward looking decision making vs. just visibility to what has occurred. A control tower can become a single utility view for tracking information related to supply chain wide events, decisions and information flow. In essence, it can provide an information hub that supports two-way decision-making, interaction and extended collaboration for what is occurring and what needs to occur. Consultants and systems integrators have also honed-in on this new requirement, and some pilot process implementations will continue in 2012.

Technology vendors have greatly overhyped the terms “supply chain wide visibility” and we believe that users demand much more supply chain business process control specifics and capabilities with this new concept.  Our prediction is that in 2012, the supply chain control tower will come to the forefront of discussion, but this is still an early phase period of market adoption and early adoption. The notion of a supply chain control tower will benefit from more discussion among both functional and IT support teams and will require more market education of the various technology elements that can enable this concept. The payoff in industry competitiveness and financial benefits can be huge.

We anticipate that the technology vendors themselves will converge on this area from four separate perspectives: supply chain execution, supply chain planning and business process management (BPM)/ business intelligence (BI), and B2B trading network perspectives. This will place the burden on consultants, system integrators and end-user teams to sort out the best approach for specific needs.  Vendors and consultants will also need to provide more hand-holding support to early adopters in their deployments.

Prediction Six: Cloud computing and broader managed services options directed at enabling selective supply chain business processes will continue to gain more traction.

The momentum for cloud computing technology adoption continued during 2011 as manufacturers, retailers and service enterprises filled-in tactical holes within supply chain problem areas such as procurement efficiency, overall spend reduction, broader supply network collaboration and deeper insights into demand and supply patterns.

The prospective of a much more challenged global economy and added pressures to reduce cost and improve service levels directed at maintaining or acquiring key customers is a given in the coming year.  External clouds can provide more flexible options for supply chain networks to exchange information with key customers and partners and collaborate more effectively on planning and execution needs. We therefore believe that more organizations will turn to broader cloud computing adoption or managed outsourced service options for selective supply chain process areas during 2012.  Cloud deployments will continue to include both private and public cloud options, with private clouds continuing to be favored within supply chain mission critical management process areas.

The cloud computing option provides enterprises with a further means to limit large up-front costs for the acquisition of key technology, and further provides the flexibility for offsetting the traditionally high annual software maintenance fees associated with enterprise level behind the firewall software use. Cloud-based technology further provides a role in helping supply chain networks to foster “plug and play”  process support capabilities. A key sign of acknowledgement of cloud computing market adoption occurred in late 2011 as dominant ERP providers made acquisitions to shore-up their cloud computing options for customers.  In late October, Oracle agreed to acquire cloud customer service provider RightNow Technologies, and in early December SAP agreed to acquire HCM cloud provider SuccessFactors. The ERP providers will have to mask their desire to sell more “seat-based” revenue opportunities with the need for customers to have meaningful cloud options that do not require major upgrades of the existing ERP technology stack.

Smaller, specialized cloud oriented supply chain technology vendors will continue to gain more market visibility.  Selection however should consider that some vendors may be targets of acquisition from bigger players in 2012 (see Prediction Seven).  Insure that your service-level agreements include provisions for carryover, in the case of acquisition or merger.

Managed Services

We also continue to hear reports from vendors and consultants that more managed services options directed at select supply chain process areas are gaining interest.  A big help in this area has been a broader understanding and education of the concepts of Vested Outsourcing, as advocated by the University of Tennessee. Vested Outsourcing calls for a outcome-based partnership among the outsourcer and the managed service provider for establishing goals for defined outcomes, joint oversight, and win-win incentives.

Look for more uptake in 3PL / 4PL partnerships in logistics and order fulfillment process needs, procurement of indirect services, and some areas of supply chain planning related to steady-state product offerings. In the U.S., 3PL’s are mindful of the likllihood of a truck capacity shortage if overall manufacturing activity increases, and are continuing to take advantage of cloud delivered technology, intermodal modes, optimized shipment structures and a heightened focus on collaborative capacity utilization.

Managed service options will continue to provide an attractive option for small and mid-sized businesses, but cost competitive, develop or buy factors will remain a part of the process.

This concludes Part Five of our Supply Chain Matters 2012 Predictions.  In Part Six, we will explore our Prediction Seven, reflecting on added M&A And strategic partnership activities among technology providers, and Prediction Eight, a move toward stepped-up standards and mitigation efforts on the part of industry and governments to combat the growing problem of counterfeit parts and supply chain theft.

In the meantime, readers are encouraged to share observations and added predictions from your industry and functional lenses.

Bob Ferrari

© 2011 The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and the Supply Chain Matters, All rights reserved.

As we transition into the final month of 2011, we are revisiting the Supply Chain Matters 2011 Annual Predictions for Global Supply Chains which were outlined a year ago.  Our annual process is to first re-visit past projections made for the current year, in this case 2011, and declare some projections for the upcoming 2012 year, which will come in a later series of postings before the end of the year. In this Part Three posting, we will revisit predictions five through seven. Our earlier scorecards can be accessed by clicking on the following links:

Part One- Predictions One and Two

Part Two-Predictions Three and Four

Prediction Five: The year will bring a new wave of turmoil, acquisition and market consolidation in certain supply chain and enterprise technology areas.

The year 2010 brought a wave of consolidation and acquisition in the supply chain technology area and we predicted that this trend would continue in 2011. Although there was some activity in 2011, it was not a new wave, as we predicted.

We anticipated consolidation acquisition and consolidation fueled by needs to tap growth potential in emerging markets, adjust strategic focus, fill-in solution areas or take advantage of opportunities.  In essence it was a somewhat quiet year with the exception of perhaps the procurement, sourcing and 3PL areas  Worth noting was:

Sourcing, Supply and Contract Management

Emptoris acquired both telecommunications expense management vendor Rivermine, and later, provider of supplier lifecycle management support vendor Xcitec.

B2B E-Commerce and Supplier Networks

GXS acquired supplier information and community management provider Rollstream

ERP

Oracle acquired information search and intelligence provider Endeca.

3PL

Transplace acquisitions of both Celtic International and SCO Logistics.

There were no major supply chain related acquisition plays concerning major players (IBM, Google, Microsoft, Oracle, SAP) in 2011, and no major acquisition announcements concerning SAP itself. It was perhaps a year of digesting previous acquisitions of 2010 and a keen concentration on mining business from existing applications.

Manufacturers and retailers continued to have heartburn regarding annual maintenance fee burdens  placed on them by the major ERP vendors but that did not impact the revenue streams of the major players in 2011. Make no mistake, the heartburn issue of high recurring maintenance fees for enterprise software will remain an issue among both IT and supply chain functional teams for some time to come, and will lead to different alternatives in the market.

One rather big surprise in the services area was the announced acquisition by PwC of supply chain benchmarking firm PRTM.  We note surprise since the announcement seemed to be rather low-key and even missed our keen eye. The long-terms implications of this acquisition on benchmarking services are somewhat unclear.

Prediction Six: Cloud computing options directed at supply chain business process enhancement will explode in popularity and adoption.

We believed that the adoption wave of cloud computing alternatives would likely accelerate in 2011 and the largest benefactors would be small and medium sized businesses. The momentum and reality of adoption continued in 2011, however is was not as originally hyped by vendors. Buying trends were motivated by larger companies that needed to either springboard overall IT adoption or required specific tactical fixes to supply chain problem areas such as procurement spend or broader supplier integration, visibility and collaboration.

Adoption favored larger vs. smaller or mid-range companies because on the whole, price points remain at higher enterprise software levels. Smaller organizations still remain interested because their larger key customers require more electronic integration. More importantly, in our view, the mid-market continues to experience confusion as to what processes lend themselves to cloud computing alternatives. As Jim Cantrell of Hubspan noted to us in a recent briefing: “not all clouds are created equal.” Having a comfort level with software vendors hosting supply chain mission critical applications on a multi-tenant cloud, and persistent concerns regarding data security remain barriers to further adoption.

A significant announcement in this area in 2011 was the market launch of Kenandy, a new vendor conceived from the stewardship of salesforce.com founder Marc Benioff, Perkins Caulfield & Byers partner and former Oracle executive, Ray Lane, and former Ask Computer founder Sandra Kurtzig.  Kanandy presents itself as a social based manufacturing management cloud-based application that embraces a new paradigm of networked manufacturers, suppliers and partners. Also announced was salesforce.com financial investment in privately held ERP provider Infor, with the specific purpose in jointly developing a global marketing and order management system that will reside on the Force.com platform. The goal here is to make cloud computing more attractive for smaller companies.

We also predicted mixed buying signals relative to options for deploying private vs. public clouds.  Private clouds, where sufficient controls and security measures are monitored, continued to be favored by larger companies.

Prediction Seven: Wider scale leverage and adoption of in-memory computing, coupled with broader application of information discovery platforms could be game changing influences on supply chain wide business analytics.

When we framed this prediction, there were two important technology developments that had the potential to have significant impact on predictive analytical capabilities in 2011.  The first was incorporation of integrated in-memory technology among software and hardware appliances. The second was the wider adoption of Google-like information discovery tools that can mine hidden data, especially unstructured data and information.  If technology providers were agile enough in 2011 to incorporate these technologies not as tool sets, but rather incorporated into turnkey supply chain planning and analysis application appliances, we could have seen some dramatic uptake in customer interest levels in the second half of the year.

More importantly, converging forces of a more rapid clock speed of business, along with senior management imperatives for quicker, more-timely decision making have been motivating companies to re-look at sequential supply chain planning and execution in favor of merged planning and execution, and augmenting planning with more predictive analytical tools to support predictive vs. more reactive decision-making.

The reality was that many vendors got ensnarled in hyped product development initiatives that were too broad and multi process focused.  The biggest player with the highest game-changing impact in this space was SAP and its HANA development efforts. SAP’s efforts in 2011 became too broad and ran into the reality of scope and impact to existing application landscapes. SAP’s supply chain related applications therefore received little benefit in 2011.  Information discovery vendor Endeca lost its dedicated focus to manufacturing and supply chain process needs earlier in the year, and was recently acquired by Oracle.

The closest vendors to supply chain predictive analytics are JDA Software, Agistix and Kinaxis, with the latter having more of a focus on response management and a new initiative of supply chain control tower applied to overall supply chain planning and key decision processes. Progress Software is another vendor attacking predictive analytics and supply chain control tower from the business process management platform perspective, with an initial offering in supply chain execution control.

The bottom-line is that while game-changing in potential, predictive analytics capabilities will need more market education and more concentrated supply chain focus. Stay tuned for our 2012 predictions for more in this area.

This concludes our Part Three scorecard update of our Supply Chain Matters 2011 Predictions for Global Supply Chains.  In our Part Four update, we will revisit or other predictions.

Bob Ferrari

©2011, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters, all rights reserved.

From our lens, certain technology vendors and bloggers have been confusing manufacturers and supply chain teams by communicating alarming messages on the growth of so-termed, “big-data” supply chains.  Some messages relate to organizations drowning in data while others offer a panacea of remedies to get data under control.

Supply Chain Matters recommends that our readers take the opportunity to review a recently published McKinsey Quarterly article, Are you ready for the era of ‘big-data’?  This advisory article is insightful and well written and provides a proactive context as to how organizations can leverage the harvesting of data for competitive advantage. While McKinsey acknowledges that these are still early days for big data, the authors state that their research indicates that organizations that leverage data and business analytics to guide decision making can gain an edge in strategically engaging customers and suppliers. We would add that the recent major supply chain disruptions precipitated by the tragedies in northern Japan and now Thailand, have also provided real-time reminders on the importance of having the right information.

The article also makes a very important conclusion. Some industries will realize benefits sooner, namely because they have strong incentives to do so, along with their overall readiness to capitalize on data management strategies.

The report features five well posed questions that senior executives should be asking themselves.

One question reflects on breaking down the barriers of accessibility to industry and supply chain wide data when organizations feel threatened or gain strategic benefit from sharing their perceived proprietary or confidential data.  These barriers exist externally as well as internally. As an example, some big retailers continue to harvest financial gains from selling point-of-sales data. Industry data aggregators or intermediaries benefit by selling such data to industry suppliers.  The good news however as that supply chain organizations are finding innovative and collaborative means to gain broader access to data.  At a recent industry conference, we heard one presenter representing a consumer goods company state that a revolution is underway in opening up access to direct sales data, even among industry competitors.

Another insightful question posed was the following: “If you could test all of your decisions, how would that change the way you compete?”   The notion here is that access and leverage of key information and insights facilitates a fundamentally different type of decision- making process, one based on reducing the variability of outcomes by testing or predicting possible decision scenarios ahead of time. A supply chain specific example of this analytical or predictive decision making context has been the popular adoption of multi-echelon inventory optimization technology.  This software leverages key data related to supply chain footprint, products, inventory cost, transportation and cycle time to analyze various inventory tradeoffs and deployment strategies that can achieve a specific customer service level. Thus, a decision related to servicing a key customer, can be analyzed ahead of time for quantification of impacts in overall costs and service levels. Other and more recent examples are the Kinaxis and Progress Software announcements of the availability supply chain control tower applications that leverage either scenario management or business process management outcome features.

Other questions posed relate to how the business would change, if big data were channeled, how these methods would augment management decision-making, and the opportunities for certain companies to create entirely new information-driven business models .

A final McKinsey observation concerns a pending shortage of skilled resources, one that this author has communicated in prior talks on predictive analytics.  McKinsey research quantifies that in the U.S. alone, “demand for skilled analytical people can outstrip supply by 50 to 60 percent.”  McKinsey notes: ”By 2018, as many as 140,000 to 190,000 additional specialists many be required.”  This message is rather important to dwell upon.  Supply chain professionals at all levels need to proactively upgrade their skills to include these new areas of leveraging analytical data and predictive decision-making.  Companies need to provide more incentives and opportunities for training in these areas, and universities and training organizations need to broaden their curriculum to embrace advanced analytical and predictive decision-making methods.

A final note reflects on the current landscape of supply chain focused professional certification programs, such as those offered by APICS, CSCMP and ISM.  By our point-of-view, there needs to be more exam content devoted to candidate understanding of these evolving data-driven and predictive decision-making processes vs. those that sufficed in the prior times of sequential based planning such as MPS and MRP.

The times are changing along with the potential and  means for more predictive supply chain decision-making.  And so are the skills and readiness qualifications.

Bob Ferrari

© 2011, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters, All Rights Reserved

The following posting can also be viewed and commented upon on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.

Business media is now sensing product demand trends that many supply chain demand planning teams have already sensed- that demand across various tiers of global supply chains is slumping further.  An ongoing lack of confidence and uncertainty that has been resonating across consumer-facing businesses is cascading into various tiers of industry value-chains.  Many large global manufacturers have invested on a large scale in the growth of emerging markets, in many cases having well over half of total revenues emulating from these regions. The open question is the now whether demand from the emerging market economies is now shifting more toward the negative magnitude and whether the manufacturing economies of the U.S. and Europe have already slid into recession.

Last week, the Financial Times noted that two of the largest manufacturers, Cummins and 3M have cut their full-year outlooks, warning of declining demand in both the developed world and emerging markets.  Cummins cited a sharp drop in product demand from emerging markets, and speculated that the U.S. and much of Europe may already be at recessionary levels.

This weekend, the Wall Street Journal featured a headline article noting that global appliance sales have tumbled, with both U.S. based Whirlpool and European based Electrolux feeling the effects of continued eroding of consumer confidence with reluctance to spend on big ticket items. Buying activity has been limited to pure replacement of broken, non-repairable appliances.  Whirlpool is moving ahead with a major restructuring plan that involves consolidation of existing U.S. and North American production facilities and reductions in staffing.

In the chemicals and basic materials sector, BASF recently reported continued revenue and earnings growth, but also indicated that its customers are planning more cautiously, are reducing inventories, and have partially delayed orders in expectation of falling prices.  Dow Chemical reported robust revenues and earnings driven by a record 20 percent sales growth from emerging economies but once again pointed to soft demand in the U.S. and Europe. Dow chairmen/CEO Andrew Liveris noted: “The new reality is that the world is operating as a two-speed global economy…with the developing world strong, and the developed regions showing slow-to-no growth.”

The largest global semiconductor foundry provider TSMC reported a 4.5 percent decline in Q3 revenues over the previous quarter, and noted that the outlook for global economic conditions continues to weaken and is reflected in the lack of strength in Q4 wafer demand. The only exception was continued robust growth in communication related chips destined for smartphone markets.

Another, perhaps more troubling aspect of weakening demand stems from two ongoing events.  The first is the continued financial sovereign debt crisis, which despite last week’s more optimistic announcements, could permeate the economic climate for many more months to come.  The U>S. politic climate has also turned more pessimistic with no defined policy to address widespread unemployment and lack of substantial growth.

The other is the continued shocks and supply chain disruptions to important growth-oriented value-chains such as automotive, high tech, alternative energy and consumer electronics.  The latest and ongoing shocks are the consequences of the devastating floods impacting Thailand, which will cascade across other supply chain segments, and the likely continuance of severe weather and natural disaster events over the coming winter months.

For supply chain management professionals, the orientation must continue to be focused on agility and responsiveness to whatever changes may occur in the coming months, while insuring the strategic agility is maintained in upside/downside capacity, and critical inventory investments are maintained for components of high business disruption risk. Demand planning cannot stem just from past history or casual forecasting, but rather a sensing of current and planned product across all tiers of the industry value-chain. Scenario based planning is again the best prescription for assessing impacts to resources and capacity.

Finally, the incidents of Japan and Thailand have once again brought home the reality that surgical, risk-focused inventory planning and management trump across the board inventory cuts.

How is your supply chain organization navigating in the current environment?

Bob Ferrari

© The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters, all rights reserved.

The following posting posting can also be viewed and commented upon on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.

This is our fifth and final posting concerning the Kinaxis Kinexions 2011 conference held last week in Phoenix.  Readers can review previous commentaries by clicking on the following links:

Dispatch One

Dispatch Two

Dispatch Three

Dispatch Four

The persona of Kinaxis events frequently includes three consistent themes, Learn-Laugh-Share, and Kinexions 2011 did not disappoint in terms of an enjoyable experience.  We genuinely like to attend Kinaxis events. Attendees once again were treated to the humor of Bill Dubois and the Late, Late, Show format of speaker interaction. The presentations and conference content were all very informative and the customer appreciation event was a lot of fun. Congratulations to Kirsten Watson and to all of the Kinaxis conference planning team for conducting a great conference.

Besides the usual complement of enthusiastic customers, the headline for Kinexions 2011 was the announcement that the company’s core product will be renamed Kinaxis RapidResponse Control Tower. The implication of this announcement is that the existing RapidResponse functionality of supply chain planning and response management along with S&OP process support will be expanded into areas of sales force optimization, profitability analysis, workforce and sales force optimization.  The concept of supply chain control towers coupled to more predictive analytics is gaining lots of interest in complex, highly outsourced supply chains such as the high tech and consumer electronics industry, and no doubt, Kinaxis management wanted to steer the functionality of RapidResponse toward supporting these needs.  One of the thoughts we “tweeted” during the conference is our belief that customer needs and technology developments are aligning toward a new era of supply chain predictive analytics.

No doubt, Kinaxis wanted to gain an upper-hand in being identified with offering supply chain control tower process support, but more importantly, to be recognized as the single supply chain decision platform that can best assimilate all supply chain related decision-support information. Kinaxis is currently working with four other development customers on various aspects of deployment, and it will important to monitor how these deployments impact business results over time.

It will be interesting to also watch one other provider of control tower functionality that Supply Chain Matters has noted. Business process management (BPM) provider Progress Software has developed a control tower type application to support supply chain process execution and visibility.

An obvious open question remains as to whether prospects and customers will embrace a “cloud” deployment of this functionality, given the mission critical and security sensitive nature of global supply chain related information.  While not a lot of cloud deployment information was openly shared during the conference, we suspect that Kinaxis management will continue to provide flexibility in customer deployment options. Our hallway conversations with some select Kinaxis customers noted some concerns in gaining access to non-core supply chain information sources such as financial planning, product management and CRM.  The implication is that Kinaxis sales teams will have to target more education to the IT audiences of prospects.

Supply Chain Matters often looks forward to hearing the customer presentations delivered at Kinexions, as well as the hallway conversations.  The primary reason is that the Kinaxis customer base represents many tiers of global supply chains, from the most innovative OEM’s and product innovators such as Amgen, Cisco, and others, to large-scale contract manufacturers and mid-market companies.  What you often find is that the mid and lower tier supply chain players, that have to manage single digit gross margins are often the most innovative in finding methods to innovate planning, response and customer service process needs.  These players are often tasked by larger, more dominant supply chain partners to provide broader visibility and more responsive response to changing business needs, and as Jabil astutely pointed out, they must also be able to out maneuver large OEM’s in terms of periods of short supply or supply chain disruptive events.

Make no mistake, innovation occurs at all levels of global supply chains.

As we noted in our detailed commentary, the Kinaxis team also decided to invite a broader group of well recognized industry analysts, systems integrators and bloggers to this year’s conference in order to broaden the visibility of the company.  Kinaxis is a privately owned company and this overt step to broaden the company’s visibility in the market may be a prelude to other options down the road, perhaps taking the company public.

The influencer track provided a great opportunity for invited guests to gain a broader understanding of RapidResponse capabilities, including its current scalability among customer deployments.  Some scalability numbers shared were 20 million plus input records processed per second and 20,000 planned orders or 300,000 dependent demands processed per second in MRP calculations.  We have noted in past commentaries that this application is unique in that it spans well beyond just supply chain planning utilization support and includes aspects of supply-chain wide visibility, S&OP process support, and other uses.  It is not uncommon to hear that some RapidResponse customers have end-user counts in the hundreds and thousands. A persistent layer of broad-based supply chain planning information, business scenario related data modeling, and most importantly, the business rules surrounding the data are all housed within the RapidResponse engine. This lends itself to a viable interactive decision-support platform for planning and managing the supply chain. It is no surprise that many of Kinaxis’s newest customers have been attracted by support for their respective S&OP and other broad based decision oriented processes.

It was also rather important for Kinaxis management to clarify that RapidResponse does not exist without the existence of current backbone ERP or legacy systems.  Rather, it enhances the need for supply chain and business planning decision-making without having to rip-out existing ERP systems or endure disruptive upgrading of applications and ERP vendor technology stacks.

In summary, we believe that Kinaxis remains as a technology provider with lots of momentum in the market, with the potential to provide further innovation in predictive analytics and supply-chain decision support.  We believe that next year’s Kinexions may well provide more customer evidence of these evolving capabilities.

Bob Ferrari

Added Note: Kinaxis is one of other named sponsors of the Supply Chain Matters blog and the author provides services to this vendor.

The following posting can also be read and commented upon on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.

We have provided multiple Supply Chain Matters and Supply Chain Expert Community commentaries as to whether confidentiality and safeguarding of corporate information has generally eroded for personal or individual gain.

Specifically, the issue is whether unscrupulous individuals cannot resist the temptation for personal monetary or other gain from selling certain supply chain information, especially regarding the leaking of information concerning Apple’s value-chain. It seems that any leaked information along Apple’s value-chain which can either place a supplier in a more advantageous position or uncover Apple’s strategies and intents regarding new or existing products, is worth money. Information regarding the number one supply chain and one of the world’s most valuable companies has become extremely valuable, or so it seems. More importantly, the implications to businesses and supply chain teams is far-reaching and not in the best interests of where supply chain business processes need to be.

Late last summer, an ex- global supply manager at Apple was charged with 23 counts of wire fraud, money laundering and unlawful transactions involving a kickback scheme. That individual pleaded guilty earlier this year and admitted to receiving kickbacks from six different Asia based suppliers in exchange for Apple confidential information. In June, a Chinese court sentenced three people, including a former employee of Hon Hai Precision Industry, to prison terms for collaborating to steal information from a supplier to Apple’s iPad2 products in order to get a jump on producing accessory products. The latest visible incident involves an ex-Samsung Electronics manager who leaked information to a Wall Street hedge fund manager in December 2009. Bloomberg BusinessWeek reported last week that during testimony at an insider-trading trial involving an executive at Primary Global Research LLC , this same ex-Samsung employee disclosed confidential shipping information for Apple’s iPad components, potentially causing Samsung to lose a supply contract.

There exist enough visible incidents and probably enough insider knowledge among those in the industry to know that this type of behavior continues.  For what personal gain?  Is a relatively small amount of extra money worth the ultimate ruin of your professional reputation and your family’s well-being?

The implications of these continued incidents to business costs are also wide ranging.  If you believe in any way that confidentiality has become too rigid, or something to take lighly, as the expression goes, “you ain’t seen nothing yet”.  Anyone in any role that has visibility to supply volumes will be subject to increased scrutiny and control.  Efforts to increase collaboration among suppliers will be stymied by more stringent controls around privacy and security of information. This can lead to harder work for supply chain teams and that would be a shame since so much can be gained from open sharing of important supply and value-chain information and increased business intelligence to product demand trends.

Supply managers will be the most impacted since they are the closest to the information.  Doing business with Apple already involves secrecy and strict controls, and these incidents will only make the work of dedicated supply chain professionals even harder to accomplish not only with Apple, but other companies and trading partners as well.

The message to our community is therefore to take note of the importance of confidentiality, since abuse will not, in the end, favor anyone or any organization. We believe that this is a critical issue, and community and broader awareness and commentary needs to continue.

Share your views and let’s start a constructive dialogue on preserving the best aspects of information sharing while respecting the legal confidentiality of certain information.

Bob Ferrari