A Missed Opportunity in 2012- Cash Rich Companies Not Investing in Supply Chain
Every now and then we reach a point when it is time to make a statement about the current challenging business environment, especially when it relates to global supply chains, and this is that time.
Catching-up on last week’s reading, in particular two related articles published in the Financial Times, triggered this commentary. One article noted that the biggest U.S. companies currently have an estimated $2 trillion in cash balances as a result of healthy earnings in 2011.
Reflect on that number for a moment, TWO TRILLION.
What a problem to have!
Where do you think a good majority of this cash is going to be directed? If you speculate stock buyback and dividend payout programs, you are absolutely correct. Amid a perceived uncertain economic environment, and not to mention a presidential election year, companies seem very reluctant to either hire or invest in longer-term capabilities. According to FT, analyzing the most recent figures available, last year, from Q4-2010 thru Q3-2011, U.S. companies diverted $336 billion into share buybacks, That is the highest volume since 2007. Corporations also raised dividend payouts by 11 percent in 2011. Some large companies actually issued more debt to finance buybacks of more than $2 billion.
That brought us to recall a January 4th FT Insight Commentary article penned by John Plender (paid subscription or free metered view). He observes that corporate profit margins are at all time highs because of savage labor shedding or shifting of labor costs to lower cost regions. The open question raised by Plender relates to where will this cash be routed in 2012. Pender opines that the obvious outlet again will be share buybacks. Why? Because the compensation incentives of many of today’s senior executives is pegged to increased earnings per share measures. He points out that academic evidence shows that a high proportion of CFO’s admit to a willingness to sacrifice economic value to meet short-term earnings target. These trends are referred to as financial engineering.
Both articles are cause for considerable concern. Manufacturers should not be faulted for being cautious given the current uncertain economic environment. There should be some cushion of cash as a contingency. However, the upcoming challenges in 2012 point to a significant need to reassess supply chain strategies and invest in longer-term capabilities.
Supply chains have been under enormous stress these past few years. They have had to respond to relentless pressures to cut costs, reduce overhead and increase productivity. For well over ten years, a flight to low-cost manufacturing regions was fueled by these pressures for cost reduction. However, the year 2011 offered stark evidence that the era of low-cost sourcing of manufacturing comes with significant risk, especially when supply chains are profiled in the leanest dimensions, or the sourcing of key components is too focused and vulnerable to disruption occurring in a single region.
Supply chain professionals had to perform yeomen activities and work countless hours to respond to assess and respond to major supply disruptions. Interestingly enough, the companies who managed the disruptions best were those who had healthy inventory safety stock levels.
We heard one senior supply chain manager express it best- we are perhaps in an era of the one quarter supply chain, configured for short-term measures and financial results.
Thus, the purpose of this commentary is to send a wake-up call to corporate boardrooms.
There is ample and proven evidence that companies who invest for the long-term, whether in people, process or technology, will reap the rewards of long-term industry competiveness. Even in times of uncertainty, those that invested where far more able to leverage market opportunities when opportunities presented themselves in the market.
We all, as stockholders, whether direct or through our long-term retirement savings, need to send a clear and loud message to CEO’s that while languishing in earnings in cash is great and leads to healthy bonus compensation, the tradeoff can well be more financially damaging to the economy and to the corporation..
How about channeling some of that cash into investments in people, process, and in longer-term supply chain capabilities. Executives need only review our 2012 Predictions for Global Supply Chains to understand that challenges remain and investment in a longer-term window is way overdue.
Bob Ferrari
Pressures Mount on Bombardier C Series Program
The following commentary can also be viewed and commented upon in the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.
It is time to update our readers on Bombardier and its C-Series aircraft program.
Our last Supply Chain Matters and Supply Chain Expert Community update was in October 2010. We noted that Bombardier was taking a huge strategic gamble on the supply chain deployment and market launch of the new C-Series aircraft scheduled for 2013. The C-Series is a 100-150 single-aisle passenger aircraft that is the cornerstone of the company’s plan to compete head-on with the likes of Boeing’s 737 and the Airbus A380 for advanced, lightweight commercial aircraft that can deliver compelling fuel efficiencies for airlines. This market segment has dominated aerospace headlines throughout the year.
In 2011, airlines were compelled to begin to open their wallets and place large amounts of replacement orders for more fuel efficient, narrow aisle aircraft, and the Airbus A380 Neo has been the prime beneficiary, followed by the 737. At the recent Paris Air Show, Airbus garnered one of the highest order volume rates in its history through customer orders of the planned A380 Neo. Thus far, Bombardier, and its China based rival COMAC, continue to compete for remaining customer orders.
In an interview published in the Wall Street Journal on November 21 (paid subscription or free metered view), Bombardier CEO Pierre Beaudoin remained upbeat, indicating that he was not too worried about uptake in new orders for the C-Series. Thus far, Bombardier has 133 firm orders, which is supposed to place the manufacturer on-track to its target to have 200 to 300 orders between first maiden flight and first delivery in 2013. Mr. Beaudoin’s statement in the interview indicates that he would rather have his company concentrate on delivering the plane on time while maintaining its stated profitability goals than moving to discounting list price at this point. Further he states that the aircraft manufacturer has turned down prices that it did not like, and that its main market is China where anywhere between 20 to 30 percent of the global fleet could eventually be located.
Our reaction to the interview was of course, slanted toward a supply chain lens. As more and more airlines weigh in with the current high rate of firm orders, the aerospace supply chain as a whole becomes committed to long-term capacity, and especially to the two current key players, Airbus and Boeing. Some of Bombardier’s C Series suppliers also cater to these current dominants.
Recall that the C series also features an outsourced global supply chain for many of its major components, allowing Bombardier to concentrate solely on innovation, design and final assembly needs. Major components such as fuselage wings and tail are sourced in China, Ireland, Italy, and other countries. All of the major components are to be shipped to Bombardier’s final assembly facility outside Montreal’s Mirabel airport for final integration. While profitability is certainly a very important goal, some aspect of volume scale is required to justify overcoming fixed supply chain material and transportation costs. There has always been a debate as to where the break-even point resides with this new outsourced major component and final assembly integration model. A review of Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner’s primarily outsourced supply chain provides ample evidence to this debate.
The second aspect for consideration is the stated goal competing for China’s aircraft business. Aerospace is one of the key strategic growth industries identified by China’s political leaders in the current five year economic plan. In our November Supply Chain Matters commentary, China Takes Aim at Aerospace, we observed that China based, state-owned aerospace manufacturer COMAC has embarked on its own program of innovation and cost competitiveness for narrow aisle aircraft, and also features a C Series program. (Coincidental, of-course) In order to insure strategic options are covered, major component aerospace suppliers such as General Electric and United Technologies have jumped-in with strategic development and relationship programs with COMAC and its other China based supplier partners. COMAC has already garnered orders from several of China’s state-owned airlines because of its unique role for contributing to China’s strategic plan for competiveness in aerospace, and continues its declaration that it will provide a compelling alternative offering for the global market.
Bombardier currently faces difficult headwinds with its C Series program, not all of which from its doing. Aerospace industry events have been dramatic and far-reaching in 2011, and the industry is in both an enviable, and yet challenging situation. Order volumes have been robust, but supply chains remain even more stressed to deliver capability and commitments for the next 5-10 years. The Bombardier C Series aircraft needs to find its place in this challenging environment, especially while customer buying motivations currently remain biased toward staying competitive in future aircraft operating efficiencies.
A highly uncertain global financial climate and industry that has supplier capacity increasingly being committed and internal dynamics within China’s airline operators may alter the widow of opportunity for Bombardier.
We wish Bombardier well and trust we can look forward to the inaugural flight of the C-Series.
Bob Ferrari
Supply Chain Matters 2011 Annual Predictions Scorecard- Part Four
As we transition into the final month of 2011, we are revisiting the Supply Chain Matters 2011 Annual Predictions for Global Supply Chains which were outlined a year ago. Our annual process is to first re-visit past projections made for the current year, in this case 2011, and declare some projections for the upcoming 2012 year, which will come in a later series of postings before the end of the year. In this Part Four and final posting, we will revisit predictions eight through ten. Our earlier scorecards can be accessed by clicking on the following links:
Part One- Predictions One and Two
Part Two-Predictions Three and Four
Part Three- Predictions Five through Seven
Prediction Eight: Two industry sectors, B2C and healthcare, will be especially effected by significant supply chain process impacts in 2011.
Both the B2C retail and pharmaceutical and healthcare industries were significantly impacted by supply chain related process impacts in 2011, making our prediction right on the money.
In the brick-and-mortar and E-Commerce sectors, a more sophisticated consumer has absolutely altered the retail buying landscape. Throughout 2011, consumers are exercising their ability to significantly influence product selection choices, perform real-time price comparisons, and easily place orders via the Internet and smartphones. According to comScore Inc., U.S. online e-Commerce spending is expected to grow to $162 billion in 2011, up from $142 billion in 2010, an increase of 14 percent. This motivated brick-and-mortar, as well as online retailers, to significantly enhance their online shopping, multi-channel commerce and operational capabilities throughout 2011. An article featured in the Wall Street Journal in mid-November (paid subscription or metered free view) noted that the hottest thing on retailers Christmas lists this year are finding experienced directors of e-commerce. Those that are highly experienced with solid track records are commanding total compensation packages upwards of $1 million.
For the online channel, Amazon continues to set the bar for services and price aggressiveness, causing retailers in many sectors to heavily invest in augmenting online capabilities in order to protect market share. Two of the most visible aspects of online impacts were the announcement by Wal-Mart that its CEO of global E-Commerce would retire in July after disappointing results in the online channel. The retailer who continues to have aggressive expansion plans related to online presence promises to announce a replacement in early 2012. Retailer Best Buy has experienced five consecutive quarters of declining sales growth as consumers visit that retailer’s brick-and-mortar stores to touch and view products but often order goods online from the most price advantaged sites.
Another highly visible impact was that of Target. The retailer had previously outsourced its online site to Amazon, but made a decision to roll out its own internally sourced online site Target.com in August, only to experience a five hour breakdown in September when premiering a highly marketed promotion of Missoni clothing. The after-effects of this incident have motivated that retailer to also seek a new director of online activity.
The massive shift to more online retail capabilities and services is forecasted to have noticeable impacts to retailer margins this year, particularly in the upcoming 2011 holiday buying season. Most retailers are offering free shipping, and many have considerably expanded the availability of products available for online purchase. The implications to retailer inventory management and added costs will be interesting to observe when the final year-end results are tallied.
Pharmaceutical and Healthcare
The second significantly impacted industry Supply Chain Matters predicted for 2011 was that of pharmaceutical and healthcare related value-chains. The reason was what we viewed as the cascading effects of the significant changes in strategic business models causing too much leaning toward reduction in supply chain costs, healthcare reform initiatives emanating from multiple countries and desires to grow sales in emerging markets. We feared all of these forces would cause noticeable supply chain impacts. What we did not anticipate was the severity, which turned out to be a complete breakdown in certain industry segments.
In July, we posted a Supply Chain Matters commentary, Why are Pharmaceutical and Drug Supply Chains Failing?, noting financial media headlines that a vast majority of U.S. hospitals were facing severe shortages of life-saving chemotherapy and intravenous drugs used in critical care. We followed up with a commentary in August noting that the ongoing complexities of pharmaceutical global supply chains have become greater than these companies abilities to control them. Critical shortages of life-saving drugs spilled over to areas of pet care, and in September, we noted that 2011 was tracking to be a year with the largest number of severe, life-saving drug shortages causing hospitals and healthcare providers to resort to gray channels to secure supplies. While industry concerns were primarily focused on increased regulation and cost managing costs, value-chains in certain segments have broken down in 2011. Causation points to generic producers and contract manufacturing sources, but that may be symptomatic of other problems. Suffice it to state that this industry remains in supply chain related crisis and that the situation will continue into 2012.
Prediction Nine: The landscape for the global outsourcing of components and finished goods production will shift again in 2011.
The essence of this 2011 prediction was that two fundamental business forces, ongoing fierce competitiveness forces directed at lowest product cost and continued needs for access to booming emerging markets, would compel manufacturers and retailers to pay much more attention to outsourcing strategies and to analyzing all the pertinent factors motivating these strategies. We anticipated further shifts in component and finished goods product sourcing, particularly in low margin or highly sensitive IP product areas.
This prediction also turned out to be generally correct but the most compelling motivation for re-examining sourcing in 2011 relates to vulnerabilities to natural disaster when product production is too concentrated in a single geographic region.
Significant inflationary pressures brought about by explosive increases in labor costs, along with raw material and commodity costs, forced many manufacturers to revisit their sourcing strategies for China and other emerging economies. The building clouds of currency risk ebbed and subsided in various points in 2011, only to surface again late in the year with the ongoing Eurozone sovereign debt crisis and threats to the Euro. Manufacturers of lower costs and lower margin products continued to shift sourcing strategies away from China in favor of other countries.
Of more lasting impact, one that will continue in 2012 was the reminders that the northern Japan earthquake and severe monsoon floods in Thailand brought in 2011. The motivations for low cost sourcing may have exposed significant vulnerabilities to strategic capacity and risk. Having upwards of 30 percent of global hard disk drive manufacturing sourced within one country, along with the hundreds of bill-of-material related component related suppliers is cause for concern.
In the area of market access, intellectual property protection and increased concerns among senior executives regarding increased barriers for doing continued business within China have cast a less aggressive perspective for sourcing within China, and those companies that are compelled to stay the course, are constantly revising or modifying sourcing and value-chain strategies.
We believe that the landscape for global outsourcing of components and finished goods shifted in 2011, and will spillover again into 2012, perhaps at a much more aggressive rate.
Prediction Ten: Supply chain related green and sustainability programs will continue in 2011 and beyond, but at a slower pace.
Entering 2011, supply chain wide green and sustainability initiatives had been primarily directed at achieving reductions in resource use as well as in saving costs. Saving energy, water consumption or packaging resources all related to the bottom line and at the same time, provided customers and consumers a positive persona of a green and sustainable brand and company.
While a positive sustainability profile often makes good business sense, we had predicted a slowdown in green and sustainability program momentum during 2011. Our prediction was predicated on the continued effects of global recession and that consumer buying decisions would not in the end, favor a green or sustainable product over a lower-cost product.
That did not turn out to be the fact since consumers continued believe that companies can provide green and sustainable products at competitive prices. Rather than a slower pace, many companies, especially those with a B2C presence, increased their investments in green initiatives. The efforts and initiatives of multi-industry supply chain dominants such as Wal-Mart, Procter & Gamble, Kraft Foods, Nike and others no doubt kept momentum moving and expectations high. In one example, Wal-Mart is deploying its Supplier Energy Efficiency Program (SEEP) to improve the energy efficiency of its suppliers by passing along learning the global retailer has gained from its own internal initiatives.
The standards for green and sustainable supply chain are high, and we are pleased that our 2011 prediction in this area turned out to be more positive.
This concludes our complete series of scorecard updates related to the Supply Chain Matters 2011 Predictions for Global Supply Chains published at the beginning of this year.
Of the original ten predictions, by our count, five were on the money, three came about partially, and two were a miss. We rate our 2011 predictions good, but readers are certainly welcomed to chime in and share their observations of global supply chain events in 2011.
Predictions aside, 2011 was a significantly challenging year for global supply chain teams and it does not get any easier in 2012. In December, we will declare and publish our 2012 Predictions for global supply chains so keep your browser favorites pointed toward Supply Chain Matters.
Bob Ferrari
©2011, The Ferrari Consulting and Research Group LLC and Supply Chain Matters, all rights reserved.
Boeing’s Q3-2011 Earnings Adds More Perspective to Aerospace Global Supply Chain Challenges Ahead
Yesterday, Boeing reported Q3-2011 revenues and earnings, but the real headline concerned a long awaited update on the company’s 787 Dreamliner and other commercial aircraft delivery schedules. Readers will recall that in late August, Boeing finally achieved its long overdue initial milestone for the 787, formal flight certification and first customer delivery.
While the Q3 financial headline was a rather respectable 31 percent increase in Q3 profits, far exceeding Street expectations, the grilling for Boeing executives during the earnings briefing concerned long-term outlook and commercial aircraft production volumes. Boeing executives communicated production volumes that combine 787 and 747-8 deliveries, making it rather difficult for analysts to differentiate each. In our July posting which reflected on Boeing’s Q2-2011 earnings report, we noted commentary from Flightblogger which speculated that Boeing’s new lumping of combined numbers just adds to additional speculation as to other stress points in the supply chain. At yesterday’s briefing, the number cited was 15-20 new deliveries of both 787 and 747-8 aircraft for this fiscal year. Last quarter, that number was cited as a combined 25-30 aircraft this year, and thus a slowing has occurred for some obvious operational or design change reasons. Another open question has been whether the devastating earthquake and tsunami that struck northern Japan had any previous supply impacts.
What was communicated is that Boeing management is observing “improvements to the quality, productivity and overall condition to the assembly within the production system.” Noted was that 787 production configuration has been finalized, and production volumes are about to transition to a rate of 2.5 airplanes, vs. a prior 2 airplanes per month. Production and delivery of 787’s is being planned to ramp to 10 aircraft per month by the end of 2013. First delivery out of Boeing’s planned second final assembly facility in Charlestown South Carolina was reported to be on-track for next year.
Boeing re-iterated that firm backlog for the 787 remains at 821 units, with an additional 200 contracted delivery options. Also noted was that initial gross margins on 787 program itself is now tracking to “low single digits”, which takes into account the cumulative impact of delays, tooling, and non-recurring costs. Boeing CFO James Bell estimated that the program would reach breakeven by 2021. Read that statement once again- the 787 program will not reach breakeven for at least 10 years, with current numbers.
Of other interest for the Supply Chain Matters reading audience is that Boeing estimates that the addressable market for the 787 class of aircraft will be 5000 aircraft over the next 20 years. The first 1100 aircraft represents approximately 10 years of that segment, which leads to the implication that the remaining 3900 aircraft will be produced and delivered in the latter 10 years of the program. One could speculate that since current order volumes have plateaued, these numbers might be overly optimistic. In any case, they represent quite a high volume milestone for Boeing and its associated supply chain partners to achieve, given past history.
One other item should be of supply chain community interest. Boeing’s overall inventory level increased by $1.8 billion to a current number of $18 billion. The inventory rise was attributed to 787 work-in-process, supplier advances and tooling.
In our Supply Chain Matters Q3 Quarterly Newsletter scheduled for distribution later this week, we comment that aerospace supply chains remain under various forms of stress. In the case of Boeing’s supply chain, there was celebration that after three years of delay and frustration, an important initial milestone has been reached. Yet, when we examine the current backlog numbers for both Boeing and Airbus, and factor their combined needs to now ramp production levels to extraordinary volumes to meet airline delivery requirements, the notion of complete supply chain synchronization, agility and intolerance to disruption, adds so much more to the implications of that stress.
Bob Ferrari
Kinaxis Kinexions 2011 Conference- Dispatch Four
The following posting can also be viewed and commented upon on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.
This posting continues highlights of the Kinexions 2011 conference being held this week in Scottsdale Arizona. Readers can also reference our prior Dispatch One , Dispatch Two and Dispatch Three commentaries.
One of the new twists to this year’s Kinexions conference was an invitation for a broader group of industry analysts / partners / bloggers to not only partake of the conference but also attend a separate afternoon briefing session hosted by Kinaxis senior management and select customers. Seldom have I found software vendors willing to allow this grouping open access, and we complement Kinaxis for this effort. As COO John Sicard explained to me, the company has reached a point where it requires broader market awareness of its capabilities.
The influencer briefing kicked-off with CEO Doug Colbeth and COO John Sicard jointly providing a history of the company both in its fabric and its technology development. Emphasis was placed on the current demonstrated scalability of RapidResponse and an acknowledgement that the application works best when in coexistence of existing ERP or legacy systems among its customers. Nearly 60 percent of Kinaxis existing customer base operate with an SAP ERP backbone system. Also explained was that when users interact with RapidResponse they declare their work area responsibility, which the application then utilizes to tailor respective planning views. The application not only manages and processes large amounts of data, but also the business rules that exist regarding that data. In our view, that characterizes RapidResponse as akin to a business process management (BPM) type of application, which the application accomplishes in its S&OP functionality. We were also briefed on why the new announced re-naming to Kinaxis RapidResponse Supply Chain Control Tower was a natural extension of the company’s current growth plans. Although there was a on-stage demo, not a lot of information was shared in this session regarding the detailed functionality that is being planned for this extension of RapidResponse capabilities.
The remainder of the influencer briefing session focused on interaction and presentations from invited customers. Elisabeth Kaszas, Director of Supply Chain for Amgen, provided an update on that company’s multi-year transformational efforts towards more responsive supply chain business processes. A benefit mentioned, that was rather difficult to do in the existing ERP backbone system,was the need to provide various product costing structures beyond just standard cost data.
Chalam Kalahasti, Director of Global Planning and Fulfillment for Cisco Systems, described the unique challenges for planning a highly outsourced, globally extended supply chain. Cisco has a very active S&OP process tied to RapidResponse, and a plan-of-record is created weekly. What is also noteworthy is that Cisco’s direction in more response-oriented planning has been motivated by previous incidents of supply chain disruption, such as earthquakes in Taiwan and China and the tsunami in northern Japan. Cisco’s supply chain planning process is predicated on the ability to assess a definitive impact from an unplanned event and to provide different options and scenarios for responding to the exception.
Paul Lindblom, a member of the senior IT staff at Qualcomm QCT, provided a detailed perspective of how RapidResponse integrates with various other Qualcomm systems, along with the unique needs for planning in a combination push-pull, semiconductor supply chain. Semiconductor wafers are long lead-time items subject to fab capacity considerations, and in the case of Qualcomm, multiple fabs are utilized to supply product. Conversely, wafer packaging and testing are driven by customer buying and lead-time requirement cycles. Semiconductor planning needs which requires the unique ability to be supported for by-product and co-product production are supported in RapidResponse.
Due to time constraints, our final session featured Kerry Zuber of Kinaxis who provided an overview of the latest 10.0 release of RapidResponse, which includes a significant investment in demand management and product forecasting functionality.
Our briefing turned out to be a jam-packed session with a literal fire-hose of information. Luckily, the customer appreciation event held on a reservation in the hills outside of Phoenix allowed ample opportunity to unwind and have great conversations with fellow attendees.
In a final posting, Supply Chain Matters will provide some final summary comments and observations regarding the Kinexions 2011 conference.
Bob Ferrari
Added Note: Kinaxis is one of other named sponsors of the Supply Chain Matters blog and the author provides services to this vendor.
Kinaxis Kinexions Conference- Dispatch Three
The following posting can also be viewed and commented on the Supply Chain Expert Community web site.
This posting continues highlights of the Kinexions 2011 conference being held this week in Scottsdale Arizona. Readers can also reference our prior Dispatch One and Dispatch Two commentaries which highlight day one activities.
Day two of Kinexions kicked off with an uncensored presentation from former Gartner Vice President and supply chain sage Kevin O’Marah, who now characterizes himself as an independent thinker. Kevin reflected on the history of business automation and innovation, the important trends that productivity and talent have brought to businesses large and small and his belief that large ERP vendors are not delivering the innovation required to enable the next era of business and supply chain process capabilities. Kevin referenced multiple survey data that reinforces that demand volatility is driving executives and supply chains literally crazy, and that the community needs to get ahead of these new realities of business. Kevin described the new wave as being led by human intelligence but with technology leverage. Kevin was also kind enough to acknowledge our working relationship in the earlier days of AMR Research and I sincerely thank Kevin for the mention.
Day two customer presentations featured Lalit Pandit, the CIO of D&M Holdings, and Joe McBeth, Vice President of Global Supply Chain at Jabil, and Erwin Hermans, Vice President of Supply Chain Solutions, Celestica. One of the extraordinary aspects of attending a Kinexions conference is that the audience can get perspectives from the key players located throughout many tiers of today’s global supply chain. The D&M Holdings story is one of a mid-market company that needed to transform its supply chain utilizing a planning and response management application that users could quickly adopt and leverage. It is also an example of how a cloud offering is an important option for mid-market companies.
While there were many nuggets of information shared by all of today’s presenters, my personal favorite was Jim McBeth, who vividly expressed what supply chain response management really means for companies, and especially contract manufacturers. Jim reflected on the recent March earthquake involving northern Japan, and more recently, the devastating floods impacting Thailand. Each had supply chain disruption implications, and as Jim best described it, “the guy who was the best information, wins”. In 48 hours, Jabil was able to provide risk assessments and impact analysis for its OEM customers and key suppliers. Jim noted that most organizations, consultants and pundits speak to constantly keeping inventory down, when the reality may be keeping partners in balance and inventory right-sized to buffer identified areas of component risk. Jim also spoke to the reality of planning at the EMS level, the mid-tier of high tech value chains when the bigger fish OEM’s will get the prime priority for available inventory and capacity. The reality turns out to be the ability to plan with predictive data, to proactively collaborate with OEM’s along with the ability to predict what requirements will be before the bigger players do the same.
This afternoon’s closing event was an interactive influencer’s panel discussion moderated by Trevor Miles of Kinaxis, which I was honored to be
invited to participate. Fellow panelists were Andy Coldrick, one of the original thought leaders in S&OP, Russell Goodman, editor-in-chief, SupplyChainBrain, and Predrang (PJ) Jakovljevic of Technology Evaluation Center. Our goal was to wrap-up the conference by summarizing what we heard from customers and influencers, how we viewed the current state of supply chain business process and technology innovation, and the notion of what is the state of collaboration in supply chains. A eureka moment came from an interchange of what comes next for S&OP? Andy provided the perspective that as the originators of S&OP discussed what would be the next iterations, they also could not agree to terminology. Andy’s charge to the audience, it doesn’t matter how you term the next iteration, what matters more is the objective your organization is seeking. Wise words from an original thought leader.
Supply Chain Matters will feature two additional Kinexions commentaries, one reflecting on this year’s briefing of key market influencers, and our conference summary impressions.
Bob Ferrari
Added Note: Kinaxis is one of other named sponsors of the Supply Chain Matters blog and the author provides services to this vendor.




